Commentary This is the second part of a two-part series designed to look at the likely war between the Chinese regime and Taiwan, which could happen in 2022. Read part I here. What Would Defeat Do? Anything less than a quick capture of the entire island would look like defeat for the Chinese regime. A long invasion would give time for the allies to commit forces, give the Taiwanese time to rally their people in guerrilla warfare, and muster massive world opinion against communist China. With world opinion against the Chinese regime, and a valiant ally able to defend all or part of Formosa, I think the United States would muster a large number of allies to help defend the island. The long arc of Chinese history and classical Chinese writings argue that defeat would be a complete and utter disaster that would finish China. At the Battle of Fei River, …
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