China Is Not the Mediator You Want on Ukraine

News Analysis America and Europe are falling for it again—asking China for help to stop the Russian invasion, and humiliating themselves with their own foolishness in the process. Moscow will listen to force and economic pain, not to persuasion. Providing Beijing with a leading role in negotiations would give the authoritarian regime a triple win, and make possible the victory of its junior partner: Russian President Vladimir Putin. First, Beijing would obtain critical insider knowledge to help its ally Russia with the Ukraine invasion, and help itself with its planned Taiwan invasion. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) would learn more about our negotiation breaking points, and could then approach them with greater precision in the future, better knowing exactly what Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Putin can demand without falling off the brink into war with the United States and allies. Second, Beijing will gain additional bargaining power with the …

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