Commentary Imagine this frightening scenario: It is the first day of the Beijing Winter Olympic Games and pro-Russian separatists in Eastern Ukraine have begun firing on Ukrainian government forces. After several days of fighting, Russian troops decide to enter the country in open support of the separatists. Amassed forces in Russia’s west join troops stationed in Belarus to quickly and effectively launch a full-scale assault on the Ukrainian military. Moscow claims that its incursion is necessary to protect the ethnically Russian east from a fascistic Western-backed government. Knowing it is unlikely that U.S.-led NATO will threaten war and massive casualties in order to protect non-member Ukraine, a ceasefire will be reached under the tutelage of Moscow. Both sides will likely have suffered a significant number of casualties. Russia will have come to the negotiating table while still maintaining troops in the Donbass. After securing a largely autonomous governance status for …
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