Ukraine War Making Beijing More Cautious; May Delay Taiwan Invasion Plan For Years: Taipei

Military lessons from Russia’s failures in its war on Ukraine will make the communist regime in Beijing more cautious about Taiwan, possibly delaying its invasion plan by years. “Beijing is learning from Russia’s combat experience, Ukraine’s resistance, and global sanctions to deduce the possible situation of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait,” Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council said in a March 30 statement following a meeting. “The Chinese Communist Party will not abandon its plan to seize Taiwan by force,” the island’s senior China policy advisers were cited as saying during the meeting on the Ukraine war. Russia-Ukraine was “a great lesson for China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA).” Russia misjudged the war situation, did not properly analyze intelligence, and its generals were promoted based on personal relationships, not expertise, they said. “These will also affect [the] CCP leaders’ trust in their army, and they will be more cautious when using force.” …

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